OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

FLA · Florida Panthers

4-2-2 · 10 pts · Atlantic · Eastern
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
100proj pts86–113
67%playoffs
19%division
5%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+2.315th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.51st
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability−0.126th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.48th
Measured team value+3.213th

How this count is built

The skaters
Matthew Tkachuk
+0.5
Carter Verhaeghe
+0.4
Brady Tkachuk
+0.3
Sam Reinhart
+0.3
Sam Bennett
+0.3
Anton Lundell
+0.2
Seth Jones
+0.2
Gustav Forsling
+0.2
Lars Eller
+0.1
Eetu Luostarinen
+0.1
Sandis Vilmanis
+0.1
Aaron Ekblad
+0.1
Garnet Hathaway
+0.1
Radko Gudas
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+3.3 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Thu, Oct 15vs VANW3–2 OT64%
Tue, Oct 13@ CBJW7–347%
Mon, Oct 12@ BUFL3–549%
Sat, Oct 10vs MINL1–455%
Tue, Oct 6@ LAKW2–148%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sat, Oct 17vs SEA58%
Wed, Oct 21@ OTT50%
Thu, Oct 22@ PIT46%
Sun, Oct 25@ CHI59%
Tue, Oct 27@ WPG52%