OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

EDM · Edmonton Oilers

5-1-1 · 11 pts · Pacific · Western
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
103proj pts89–116
83%playoffs
33%division
6%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+2.87th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.27th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability−0.130th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.49th
Measured team value+3.48th

How this count is built

The skaters
Connor McDavid
+0.7
Leon Draisaitl
+0.6
Evan Bouchard
+0.5
Vasily Podkolzin
+0.3
Mattias Ekholm
+0.3
Ryan Shea
+0.3
Alex Formenton
+0.2
Kasperi Kapanen
+0.1
Mathieu Joseph
+0.1
Owen Michaels
+0.1
Trent Frederic
+0.1
Max Jones
+0.1
Colton Dach
+0.0
Filip Hallander · +0.1 season
+0.0

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+3.5 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Thu, Oct 15vs UTAL2–454%
Tue, Oct 13@ LAKW4–150%
Sat, Oct 10@ SJSW3–155%
Wed, Oct 7@ ANAW5–250%
Sat, Oct 3vs SEAW3–159%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sat, Oct 17@ UTA48%
Tue, Oct 20vs MIN56%
Thu, Oct 22vs CAR50%
Sat, Oct 24vs TOR59%
Mon, Oct 26vs DET57%