OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

WSH · Washington Capitals

4-3-0 · 8 pts · Metropolitan · Eastern
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
95proj pts81–109
52%playoffs
10%division
3%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+2.414th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.127th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability+0.17th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.225th
Measured team value+2.816th

How this count is built

The skaters
Alex Tuch
+0.3
Tom Wilson
+0.3
Boone Jenner
+0.2
Jakob Chychrun
+0.2
Jordan Kyrou
+0.2
Alex Ovechkin
+0.2
Aliaksei Protas
+0.2
Ryan Leonard
+0.1
Dylan Strome
+0.1
Vincent Desharnais
+0.1
Pierre-Luc Dubois
+0.1
Anthony Beauvillier
+0.1
Timothy Liljegren
+0.1
Cole Hutson
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+2.7 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Wed, Oct 14vs MTLW5–454%
Tue, Oct 13@ CARL2–443%
Sun, Oct 11vs SEAL3–557%
Fri, Oct 9vs NYRW3–153%
Wed, Oct 7vs PITW5–354%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sat, Oct 17vs NJD53%
Tue, Oct 20vs LAK53%
Sat, Oct 24vs BUF52%
Wed, Oct 28vs PHI60%
Thu, Oct 29@ NSH49%