OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

BUF · Buffalo Sabres

4-3-1 · 9 pts · Atlantic · Eastern
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
95proj pts82–109
51%playoffs
10%division
3%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+2.96th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.130th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability−0.131st
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.411th
Measured team value+3.311th

How this count is built

The skaters
Rasmus Dahlin
+0.4
Owen Power
+0.3
Zach Benson
+0.3
Jack Quinn
+0.3
Tage Thompson
+0.3
Noah Ostlund
+0.3
Josh Doan
+0.2
Olen Zellweger
+0.2
Mattias Samuelsson
+0.1
Ryan McLeod
+0.1
Konsta Helenius
+0.1
Louis Crevier
+0.1
Josh Norris
+0.1
Jiri Kulich
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+3.4 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Thu, Oct 15@ TORW5–4 OT51%
Tue, Oct 13@ MTLOTL3–4 SO46%
Mon, Oct 12vs FLAW5–351%
Sat, Oct 10vs UTAL1–454%
Thu, Oct 8vs DALL0–452%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sat, Oct 17@ MTL47%
Wed, Oct 21vs PHI59%
Sat, Oct 24@ WSH48%
Tue, Oct 27@ SJS53%
Thu, Oct 29@ ANA50%