THIS WEEK

Week 6 — highest stakes first within each day. Tap a game to see what it moves. Win probabilities as the models stood entering week 6. The win bar is the Factor model's probability for the announced starters; Team Elo's own number sits beside its spread. Line is the closing (or current) spread. Ledger →

Final scores — newest first
Sunday, October 18 — tap a game to see what it moves
Sun, Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET · neutral siteGame of the weekstakes 36/100
#11 Houston TexansTexans1–4vs#5 Jacksonville JaguarsJaguars4–1
43%
57%
Line JAX −3.0Team Elo JAX −2.3 · 58% JAXFactor JAX −2.5Stroud · Lawrence
Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ETstakes 23/100
#29 New York JetsJets2–3at#6 New England PatriotsPatriots3–2
14%
86%
Line NE −7.5Team Elo NE −9.2 · 80% NEFactor NE −14.9Smith · Maye
Sun, Oct 18 · 8:20 PM ETstakes 22/100
#17 Dallas CowboysCowboys2–3at#16 Green Bay PackersPackers3–2
41%
59%
Line GB −1.5Team Elo GB −1.6 · 57% GBFactor GB −2.8Prescott · Love
Sun, Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ETstakes 20/100
#4 Buffalo BillsBills4–1at#25 Las Vegas RaidersRaiders3–2
73%
27%
Line BUF −6.0Team Elo BUF −5.3 · 33% LVFactor BUF −8.5Allen · Cousins
Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ETstakes 20/100
#8 Baltimore RavensRavens4–1at#28 Cleveland BrownsBrowns3–2
74%
26%
Line BAL −4.5Team Elo BAL −5.3 · 33% CLEFactor BAL −8.9Jackson · Watson
Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ETstakes 20/100
#14 Chicago BearsBears3–2at#19 Atlanta FalconsFalcons2–3
52%
48%
Line CHI −3.0Team Elo CHI −1.0 · 48% ATLFactor CHI −1.0Williams · Penix
Sun, Oct 18 · 4:05 PM ETstakes 15/100
#31 Arizona CardinalsCardinals1–4at#3 Los Angeles RamsRams2–3
14%
86%
Line LA −13.5Team Elo LA −11.8 · 86% LAFactor LA −15.4Brissett · Stafford
Sun, Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ETstakes 15/100
#23 Los Angeles ChargersChargers0–5at#7 Kansas City ChiefsChiefs4–0
31%
69%
Line KC −8.5Team Elo KC −5.4 · 70% KCFactor KC −6.5Herbert · Mahomes
Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ETstakes 15/100
#22 Carolina PanthersPanthers2–2at#15 Philadelphia EaglesEagles2–3
35%
65%
Line PHI −1.5Team Elo PHI −2.9 · 62% PHIFactor PHI −5.0Young · Hurts
Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ETstakes 10/100
#27 New Orleans SaintsSaints1–4at#21 New York GiantsGiants3–1–1
41%
59%
Line NYG −1.5Team Elo NYG −3.2 · 63% NYGFactor NYG −2.7Shough · Winston
Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ETstakes 8/100
#18 Pittsburgh SteelersSteelers3–2at#24 Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers1–4
43%
57%
Line PIT −3.0Team Elo PK · 51% TBFactor TB −2.1Rodgers · Mayfield
Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ETstakes 3/100
#30 Tennessee TitansTitans0–5at#20 Indianapolis ColtsColts2–3
20%
80%
Line IND −7.0Team Elo IND −6.1 · 72% INDFactor IND −11.3Ward · Jones
Monday, October 19 — tap a game to see what it moves
Mon, Oct 19 · 8:15 PM ETstakes 19/100
#26 Washington CommandersCommanders1–3–1at#1 San Francisco 49ers49ers5–0
19%
81%
Line SF −7.5Team Elo SF −8.8 · 79% SFFactor SF −12.2Daniels · Purdy