OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

PIT · Pittsburgh Penguins

3-3-1 · 7 pts · Metropolitan · Eastern
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
95proj pts81–109
50%playoffs
9%division
3%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+2.611th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.218th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability+0.012th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.413th
Measured team value+3.212th

How this count is built

The skaters
Sidney Crosby
+0.4
Erik Karlsson
+0.3
Tommy Novak
+0.2
Nick Robertson
+0.2
Evgeni Malkin
+0.2
Ben Kindel
+0.2
Samuel Girard
+0.2
Kaedan Korczak
+0.2
Rickard Rakell
+0.2
Blake Lizotte
+0.2
Connor Dewar
+0.2
Egor Chinakhov
+0.1
Hendrix Lapierre
+0.1
Bryan Rust
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+3.2 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Tue, Oct 13@ CHIL3–556%
Sat, Oct 10vs DALW2–1 SO49%
Fri, Oct 9@ CBJOTL2–3 SO47%
Wed, Oct 7@ WSHL3–546%
Mon, Oct 5vs WPGL2–357%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Fri, Oct 16@ COL45%
Sat, Oct 17@ VGK43%
Mon, Oct 19@ UTA46%
Thu, Oct 22vs FLA54%
Sat, Oct 24vs NSH57%