OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

NYI · New York Islanders

3-3-1 · 7 pts · Metropolitan · Eastern
WOWY — NYI pairs →
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
88proj pts74–102
28%playoffs
3%division
1%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+1.923rd
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.213th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability+0.18th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.226th
Measured team value+2.423rd

How this count is built

The skaters
Matthew Schaefer
+0.5Bo Horvat
+0.3Matias Maccelli
+0.3Tony DeAngelo
+0.2Casey Cizikas
+0.2Jean-Gabriel Pageau
+0.1Ondrej Palat
+0.1Simon Holmstrom
+0.1Brayden Schenn
+0.1Adam Pelech
+0.1Emil Heineman
+0.1Logan Stanley
+0.1Calum Ritchie
+0.1Kyle Palmieri
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+2.3 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Thu, Oct 15@ OTTOTL1–2 SO44%
Tue, Oct 13vs VANW3–259%
Sat, Oct 10vs TBLL3–544%
Thu, Oct 8vs CHIW4–157%
Tue, Oct 6@ NYRL2–545%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Sat, Oct 17@ TOR47%
Tue, Oct 20vs ANA54%
Thu, Oct 22vs LAK50%
Sun, Oct 25@ DAL42%
Tue, Oct 27@ NSH47%