OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

COL · Colorado Avalanche

4-2-1 · 9 pts · Central · Western
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
103proj pts89–117
81%playoffs
28%division
8%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+3.52nd
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.125th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability+0.016th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.54th
Measured team value+4.13rd

How this count is built

The skaters
Nathan MacKinnon
+0.6
Martin Necas
+0.4
Artturi Lehkonen
+0.4
Sam Malinski
+0.3
Cale Makar
+0.3
Nazem Kadri
+0.3
Brock Nelson
+0.2
Parker Kelly
+0.2
Josh Manson
+0.2
Brent Burns
+0.2
T.J. Hughes
+0.2
Gabriel Landeskog
+0.2
Jaden Schwartz
+0.2
Devon Toews
+0.2

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+4.1 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Wed, Oct 14vs DALOTL2–3 SO55%
Tue, Oct 13@ DALW3–249%
Sat, Oct 10vs TORL3–660%
Thu, Oct 8@ CGYW7–358%
Wed, Oct 7@ WPGL2–355%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Fri, Oct 16vs PIT55%
Mon, Oct 19@ PHI57%
Tue, Oct 20@ NJD47%
Fri, Oct 23vs TBL53%
Sun, Oct 25@ NSH56%