OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

ANA · Anaheim Ducks

4-2-0 · 8 pts · Pacific · Western
Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16
94proj pts80–108
55%playoffs
10%division
2%Stanley Cup
Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →
The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+1.725th
Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.212th
Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability+0.010th
Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.320th
Measured team value+2.224th

How this count is built

The skaters
Leo Carlsson
+0.3
Jackson LaCombe
+0.2
Mikael Granlund
+0.2
Beckett Sennecke
+0.2
Tristan Luneau
+0.2
Jeff Malott
+0.1
Alex Killorn
+0.1
Cutter Gauthier
+0.1
Noah Warren
+0.1
Pavel Mintyukov
+0.1
Nikita Nesterenko
+0.1
A.J. Greer
+0.1
Ryan Poehling
+0.1
Judd Caulfield
+0.1

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+2.2 goals
Last 5 gamespre-game
Tue, Oct 13vs CGYL2–460%
Sat, Oct 10@ CGYW4–253%
Fri, Oct 9@ WPGW5–148%
Wed, Oct 7vs EDML2–550%
Sun, Oct 4vs FLAW3–2 OT47%
Next 5 gameswin chance
Fri, Oct 16vs BOS51%
Mon, Oct 19@ NYR47%
Tue, Oct 20@ NYI46%
Thu, Oct 22@ NJD44%
Sat, Oct 24@ PHI48%