OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27

LAK · Los Angeles Kings

0-3-2 · 2 pts · Pacific · Western

WOWY — LAK pairs →

Outlook · as of Fri, Oct 16

91proj pts77–106

45%playoffs

7%division

3%Stanley Cup

Lineup and model inputs → Full standings → This week's games →

The team count

Goals above replacement (GAR) by game state, each row the skaters plus any team term that state carries. The rows add to the total exactly. A traded skater counts here only for his games with this club.

Even strengthskater value at 5v5 (the model's frozen even-strength scope), itemized below — the players carry this state whole+1.529th

Power playskater value only this season — the team power-play estimate is fitted on complete seasons and is added once the season is over+0.219th

Penalty killone team term — individual PK credit did not repeat, so the club carries it, held to its measured reliability−0.128th

Penaltiesskater value from minors drawn less minors taken — the club's opportunity, carried whole by its players+0.224th

Measured team value+1.829th

How this count is built

The skaters

even strength power play penalties (net)· negative components sit left of the zero line

Measured skater value+1.9 goals

Last 5 gamespre-game

Tue, Oct 13vs EDML1–450%

Sat, Oct 10@ VGKOTL1–2 OT46%

Tue, Oct 6vs FLAL1–252%

Sat, Oct 3@ SJSOTL4–5 OT52%

Wed, Sep 30@ COLL4–843%

Next 5 gameswin chance

Sat, Oct 17vs BOS55%

Tue, Oct 20@ WSH47%

Thu, Oct 22@ NYI50%

Sat, Oct 24@ NJD45%

Mon, Oct 26@ NYR47%

OPEN COUNT — NHL · 2026-27 PROJECTION

LAK · Los Angeles Kings

After 5 games · 0-3-2, 2 pts · as of Fri, Oct 16 · Pacific

Standings →

91proj pts77–106

45%playoffs

7%division

3%Stanley Cup

50%win vs avg club

+23.512thproj GAR, forwards

+6.519thproj GAR, defense

What the game model sees

Expected regulation goals a game against a league-average opponent (home and away averaged), and the inputs that produce them.

Goals for a game2.8115th2.06 at 5v5 + 0.60 on the power play + 0.16 other (4v4, 3v3, 5v3) · league average 2.80

Goals against a game2.7917th2.01 at 5v5 + 0.63 on the penalty kill + 0.16 other · league average 2.80

Inputs, in goals a game against the league-average club:

5v5 offense (skaters)+0.0116th

5v5 defense (skaters)+0.0113th

Power play (skaters)−0.0016th

Penalty kill (team rating)−0.0931st

Power-play time a game4.5 min22ndleague average 4.7 min

Last 5 gamespre-game

Tue, Oct 13vs EDML1–450%

Sat, Oct 10@ VGKOTL1–2 OT46%

Tue, Oct 6vs FLAL1–252%

Sat, Oct 3@ SJSOTL4–5 OT52%

Wed, Sep 30@ COLL4–843%

Next 5 gameswin chance

Sat, Oct 17vs BOS55%

Tue, Oct 20@ WSH47%

Thu, Oct 22@ NYI50%

Sat, Oct 24@ NJD45%

Mon, Oct 26@ NYR47%

The expected lineup

Everyone who has dressed in the club's last ten games, weighted by how often he played and his usual share of the ice time. Values are goals above replacement per 60 minutes; “Per game” is that value at these minutes. The penalty kill enters as a team rating — individual kill value did not repeat season to season.

Forwards

Skater	Value	Per game	Off/60	Def/60	PP/60	5v5 min	PP min	PK min
Artemi Panarin	Live	+0.064	+0.19	+0.01	+0.18	15.6	4.1	—
Adrian Kempe	Live	+0.033	+0.14	−0.01	−0.03	15.6	3.4	0.1
Quinton Byfield	Live	+0.042	+0.15	+0.01	+0.04	15.0	3.8	0.1
Alex Laferriere	Live	+0.035	+0.14	+0.00	+0.09	13.6	2.2	0.4
Trevor Moore	Live	+0.032	+0.13	+0.01	+0.02	13.7	0.4	2.4
Erik Haula	Live	+0.006	+0.04	−0.01	+0.01	12.0	1.1	2.0
Scott Laughton	Live	+0.014	+0.07	+0.01	—	12.0	—	2.4
Joel Armia	Live	+0.009	+0.04	+0.01	−0.01	11.0	0.2	2.0
Mats Zuccarello	Live	+0.015	+0.11	0.00	+0.01	7.8	2.0	—
Corey Perry	Live	+0.009	+0.07	−0.01	+0.09	7.9	0.7	—
Alex Turcotte	Live	+0.012	+0.10	+0.01	−0.01	7.1	0.7	0.3
Andre Lee	Live	+0.004	+0.04	+0.01	—	5.2	—	0.1
Samuel Helenius	Live	+0.003	+0.02	+0.01	—	5.0	—	—
Jared Wright	Live	+0.001	+0.02	+0.01	—	1.9	—	—

Defense

Skater	Value	Per game	Off/60	Def/60	PP/60	5v5 min	PP min	PK min
Brandt Clarke	Live	+0.038	+0.13	+0.01	+0.09	14.4	3.6	0.4
Drew Doughty	Live	+0.018	+0.04	+0.03	−0.02	16.3	0.9	1.5
Mikey Anderson	Live	+0.007	+0.01	+0.03	—	15.0	—	2.6
Cody Ceci	Live	+0.003	+0.01	+0.01	—	15.0	—	2.5
Brian Dumoulin	Live	+0.005	+0.00	+0.02	—	13.9	—	1.3
Joel Edmundson	Live	−0.004	−0.02	−0.00	—	12.5	—	1.6
Erik Gustafsson	Live	+0.010	+0.05	+0.01	−0.03	9.3	0.9	—

Value sources: Live this season's play blended with the projection · Proj last season through the projection model · Carried missed last season, earlier projection discounted · Repl no history.