Texas State

2–3 · Pac-12 · 1–3 in rated games

#90

-0.69

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Projected finish

5.2–5.8 expected

<1% playoff

12% conf title game

0% first-round bye

2–9

3–8

21%

4–7

35%

5–6

28%

6–5

7–4

8–3

bowl eligible 38% · win out 1%

Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves

W7vs #103 Colorado State

stakes 4

85%

What this game moves

PlayoffConf title game

if TXSTif CSUif TXSTif CSU

Texas State——14%3%

Colorado State——<1%1%

Oregon State——34%38%

Fresno State——39%43%

W8vs #77 Utah State

stakes 8

64%

W9@ #18 Boise State

stakes 44

14%

W10@ #39 Oregon State

stakes 22

40%

W11vs #54 Fresno State

stakes 23

43%

W12vs #127 Washington State

stakes 13

69%

The receipts

WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±

—Model prior · 25% weight+0.20

W1@ #9 Texas

L 7–59333836−0.31

W2vs #47 UTSA

L 26–3140727−0.57

W3vs #55 North Texas

W 49–35657271+0.57

W4vs Incarnate Word · not ratedW 63–10———0.00

W5@ #113 San Diego State

L 29–3140526−0.59

Season total✓ receipts = résumé score-0.69

Factor profile

Rush offense

1635 #27

Pass offense

1640 #24

Rush defense

1514 #60

Pass defense

1355 #115

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile

Résumé score

-0.69 #90

Elo

1456 #77

WAB

-1.9 #94

SOS

1541 #47

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory

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