Fresno State

4–2 · Pac-12

#54

0.44

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Projected finish

7.5–3.5 expected

3% playoff

40% conf title game

0% first-round bye

<1%

4–7

5–6

12%

6–5

32%

7–4

37%

8–3

17%

9–2

bowl eligible 98% · win out 17%

Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves

W7@ #113 San Diego State

stakes 21

74%

What this game moves

PlayoffConf title game

if SDSUif FRESif SDSUif FRES

Fresno State1%4%19%47%

San Diego State——16%1%

Oregon State——43%32%

W9vs #39 Oregon State

stakes 42

68%

W10@ #77 Utah State

stakes 25

64%

W11@ #90 Texas State

stakes 23

57%

W12vs #103 Colorado State

stakes 7

91%

The receipts

WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±

—Model prior · 25% weight+0.05

W1@ #22 USC

L 0–39222925−0.53

W2vs #138 Sacramento State

W 49–3606264+0.26

W3@ #107 San José State

W 26–10606867+0.33

W4vs #128 Rice

W 38–24486458+0.17

W5@ #127 Washington State

W 26–6656970+0.40

W6vs #18 Boise State

L 31–38552344−0.24

Season total✓ receipts = résumé score0.44

Factor profile

Rush offense

1371 #109

Pass offense

1620 #30

Rush defense

1509 #62

Pass defense

1589 #42

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile

Résumé score

0.44 #54

Elo

1534 #57

WAB

-0.8 #51

SOS

1412 #119

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory

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