Toledo

4–2 · MAC · 3–2 in rated games

#88

-0.60

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Projected finish

7.8–4.2 expected

<1% playoff

21% conf title game

0% first-round bye

<1%

4–8

5–7

6–6

25%

7–5

35%

8–4

23%

9–3

10–2

bowl eligible 98% · 10+ wins 6% · win out 6%

Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves

W7@ #110 Eastern Michigan

stakes 14

56%

What this game moves

PlayoffConf title game

if EMUif TOLif EMUif TOL

Eastern Michigan——36%9%

Toledo——6%32%

W8vs #68 Western Michigan

stakes 18

51%

W10@ #138 Sacramento State

stakes 6

82%

W11vs #108 Massachusetts

stakes 6

83%

W12vs #109 Bowling Green

stakes 13

71%

W13@ #72 Ohio

stakes 21

42%

The receipts

WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±

—Model prior · 25% weight−0.01

W1@ #76 Michigan State

L 20–30431432−0.47

W2vs Central Connecticut · not ratedW 63–10———0.00

W3vs #116 Temple

W 49–48366650+0.06

W4vs #113 San Diego State

W 41–16736574+0.51

W5@ #130 Ball State

W 39–24516560+0.23

W6vs #101 Buffalo

L 8–2317210−0.92

Season total✓ receipts = résumé score-0.60

Factor profile

Rush offense

1499 #65

Pass offense

1525 #61

Rush defense

1600 #35

Pass defense

1397 #105

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile

Résumé score

-0.60 #88

Elo

1427 #90

WAB

-1.5 #77

SOS

1362 #131

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory

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