South Alabama

4–2 · Sun Belt · 3–2 in rated games
#78
-0.46
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Projected finish
7.4–4.6 expected
<1% playoff
34% conf title game
0% first-round bye
1%
4–8
5%
5–7
17%
6–6
30%
7–5
30%
8–4
15%
9–3
3%
10–2
bowl eligible 95% · 10+ wins 3% · win out 3%
Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves
W8@ #112 Marshall Marshallstakes 10
53%
What this game moves
PlayoffConf title game
if MRSHif USAif MRSHif USA
South Alabama——23%44%
Marshall————
Troy——26%18%
Louisiana Tech——28%21%
Louisiana——21%15%
W9vs #71 Louisiana Tech Louisiana Techstakes 21
60%
W10@ #83 Louisiana Louisianastakes 19
40%
W11vs #73 Troy Troystakes 22
54%
W12@ #132 Southern Miss Southern Missstakes 12
68%
W13vs #106 App State App Statestakes 11
68%
The receipts
WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±
—Model prior · 25% weight−0.20
W1vs SE Louisiana · not ratedW 39–14———0.00
W2@ #97 Tulane TulaneL 24–2843829−0.53
W3vs #72 Ohio OhioW 41–36476858+0.22
W4@ #14 Kentucky KentuckyL 21–45402937−0.32
W5vs #133 UL Monroe UL MonroeW 52–35426353+0.10
W6@ #119 Arkansas State Arkansas StateW 56–49516961+0.28
Season total✓ receipts = résumé score-0.46
Factor profile
Rush offPass offRush defPass def
Rush offense
1610 #34
Pass offense
1667 #20
Rush defense
1274 #132
Pass defense
1327 #124

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile
Résumé score
-0.46 #78
Elo
1414 #96
WAB
-1.1 #61
SOS
1412 #117

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory
#77#94#111W1W3W5W6
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