Northwestern

4–1 · Big Ten · 3–1 in rated games

#19

2.30

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Projected finish

8.2–3.8 expected

8% playoff

3% conf title game

1% first-round bye

<1%

4–8

5–7

6–6

20%

7–5

34%

8–4

28%

9–3

10%

10–2

11–1

bowl eligible 99% · 10+ wins 11% · win out 1%

Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves

W7@ #76 Michigan State

stakes 15

75%

What this game moves

PlayoffConf title game

if MSUif NUif MSUif NU

Northwestern2%10%<1%4%

Michigan State————

W8vs #121 Rutgers

stakes 5

90%

W9@ #21 Oregon

stakes 43

33%

W10vs #26 Iowa

stakes 56

54%

W11@ #6 Ohio State

stakes 57

14%

W12@ #62 Minnesota

stakes 14

69%

W13vs #66 Illinois

stakes 10

80%

The receipts

WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±

—Model prior · 20% weight−0.32

W1vs South Dakota State · not ratedW 34–18———0.00

W3vs #75 Colorado

W 41–7776878+0.72

W4@ #5 Indiana

L 23–29754465+0.39

W5vs #46 Penn State

W 34–13898191+1.04

W6vs #130 Ball State

W 45–14656367+0.47

Season total✓ receipts = résumé score2.30

Factor profile

Rush offense

1662 #22

Pass offense

1697 #16

Rush defense

1464 #82

Pass defense

1595 #39

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile

Résumé score

2.30 #19

Elo

1743 #16

WAB

0.2 #23

SOS

1547 #45

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory

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