Michigan

3–2 · Big Ten

#49

0.64

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Projected finish

6.4–5.6 expected

1% playoff

<1% conf title game

<1% first-round bye

<1%

3–9

4–8

17%

5–7

33%

6–6

30%

7–5

13%

8–4

9–3

<1%

10–2

bowl eligible 79% · win out <1%

Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves

W7vs #46 Penn State

stakes 2

64%

What this game moves

Playoff

if MICHif PSU

Michigan2%<1%

Penn State——

W8vs #5 Indiana

stakes 57

26%

W9@ #121 Rutgers

stakes 4

80%

W10vs #76 Michigan State

stakes 3

82%

W11@ #21 Oregon

stakes 25

28%

W12vs #11 UCLA

stakes 67

49%

W13@ #6 Ohio State

stakes 42

12%

The receipts

WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±

—Model prior · 15% weight+0.22

W1vs #68 Western Michigan

W 13–12446957+0.20

W2vs #28 Oklahoma

W 17–10688278+0.65

W3vs #135 UTEP

W 52–17556361+0.25

W4vs #26 Iowa

L 19–20571743−0.24

W5@ #62 Minnesota

L 14–20461334−0.43

Season total✓ receipts = résumé score0.64

Factor profile

Rush offense

1582 #48

Pass offense

1468 #77

Rush defense

1664 #21

Pass defense

1703 #9

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile

Résumé score

0.64 #49

Elo

1582 #44

WAB

-1.0 #53

SOS

1495 #73

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory

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