Duke

4–1 · ACC · 3–1 in rated games
#44
0.92
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Projected finish
7.8–4.2 expected
3% playoff
7% conf title game
<1% first-round bye
<1%
4–8
2%
5–7
11%
6–6
26%
7–5
33%
8–4
21%
9–3
6%
10–2
1%
11–1
bowl eligible 98% · 10+ wins 7% · win out 1%
Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves
W7vs #38 North Carolina North Carolinastakes 11
69%
What this game moves
PlayoffConf title game
if DUKEif UNCif DUKEif UNC
Duke4%1%10%1%
North Carolina<1%2%<1%4%
W8@ #65 Virginia Virginiastakes 9
57%
W9vs #104 Boston College Boston Collegestakes 4
83%
W10@ #94 NC State NC Statestakes 7
62%
W11@ #4 Miami Miamistakes 29
12%
W12vs #36 Clemson Clemsonstakes 19
62%
W13@ #25 Wake Forest Wake Foreststakes 40
34%
The receipts
WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±
—Model prior · 25% weight−0.19
W1vs #97 Tulane TulaneW 17–3566764+0.39
W2@ #66 Illinois IllinoisW 31–27628073+0.62
W3vs #100 Stanford StanfordW 35–7696571+0.56
W4vs William & Mary · not ratedW 62–7———0.00
W6@ #96 Georgia Tech Georgia TechL 25–2846932−0.45
Season total✓ receipts = résumé score0.92
Factor profile
Rush offPass offRush defPass def
Rush offense
1592 #41
Pass offense
1529 #58
Rush defense
1606 #31
Pass defense
1553 #54

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile
Résumé score
0.92 #44
Elo
1571 #51
WAB
-0.4 #44
SOS
1430 #106

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory
#31#38#45W1W3W5W6
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