California

3–3 · ACC · 2–3 in rated games
#79
-0.46
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Projected finish
5.2–6.8 expected
<1% playoff
3% conf title game
0% first-round bye
5%
3–9
22%
4–8
34%
5–7
26%
6–6
10%
7–5
2%
8–4
<1%
9–3
bowl eligible 39% · win out <1%
Upcoming — tap a game to see what it moves
W7vs #25 Wake Forest Wake Foreststakes 29
25%
What this game moves
PlayoffConf title game
if CALif WAKEif CALif WAKE
Wake Forest7%24%21%52%
California——9%<1%
Louisville——10%5%
SMU——24%20%
W8@ #45 SMU SMUstakes 12
22%
W9@ #94 NC State NC Statestakes 6
37%
W11@ #65 Virginia Virginiastakes 3
32%
W12vs #100 Stanford Stanfordstakes 1
69%
W13vs #31 Pittsburgh Pittsburghstakes 7
36%
The receipts
WkOpponentResultPerfStrTot±
—Model prior · 25% weight+0.15
W1vs #11 UCLA UCLAL 24–45412234−0.39
W2@ #92 Syracuse SyracuseW 21–18547466+0.38
W3vs Wagner · not ratedW 49–7———0.00
W4vs #36 Clemson ClemsonL 10–24361226−0.58
W5@ #64 UNLV UNLVL 31–39451333−0.45
W6vs #50 Virginia Tech Virginia TechW 25–20577468+0.42
Season total✓ receipts = résumé score-0.46
Factor profile
Rush offPass offRush defPass def
Rush offense
1267 #127
Pass offense
1438 #90
Rush defense
1302 #126
Pass defense
1579 #47

Who this team is — style, not standing. These don't feed the rankings. The radar shows where each unit sits nationally.

Résumé profile
Résumé score
-0.46 #79
Elo
1474 #70
WAB
-1.7 #87
SOS
1568 #31

What the season has earned — the board's four metrics. The receipts itemize the score game by game.

Trajectory
#67#81#95W1W3W5W6
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